It's been some time and I'd like us to start moving again. I'm going to post a little summary of what the PCs know so far.
The incident occurred about a week ago.
The day before the incident Tubbs and Starhouse are travelling back home from an unspecified town to the east.
On the road they meet a man claiming to be a magician. Tubbs speaks him privately in the carriage.
The magician gets off near an unspecified village (still to the east). He looks smug, and so does Tubbs. Starhouse is uncomfortable and thinks they have been talking about him and maybe plotting something.
In the evening Tubbs has an argument with his wife and they barely speak at dinner.
During the night Starhouse leaves, passing by Peglar's to say goodbye.
In the morning Mrs. Tubbs insists on making her husband's breakfast herself.
The breakfast seems to take longer than usual and no one rings for the table to be cleared. Elsie (the maid) goes to see if anything is needed and finds the room empty. She spots her mistress in the courtyard and goes to bring her her shawl. Mrs. Tubbs says Mr. Tubbs has left on business.
Stuff you know:
Starhouse is very good at handling animals.
Mr. Tubbs is obsessed with fairies and thinks Starhouse is one.
Starhouse finds that uncomfortable enough to finally leave. The last straw seems to be meeting the vagrant magician.
When leaving, Starhouse has left some valuable possessions behind, neatly arranged.
Starhouse has gone north.
Mr. and Mrs. Tubbs have been at odds about Mr. Tubbs' obsession. It's safe to assume that the argument prior to Tubbs's disappearance had been about magic, because during dinner Mr. Tubbs had been pettishly calling his wife by the name of a comical magic-hating character.
Elsie thinks that Mrs. Tubbs have poisoned her husband, but that doesn't explain the disappearance of the body.
The dining room window (calling it "dining" but they have all their meals there) is overlooking the courtyard and was opened when Elsie went to check on her masters.
It's pretty obvious that Mrs. Tubbs knows something but is refusing to talk.
Mrs. Tubbs is deeply distressed, but you've not been able to discern if it's fear, grief, guilt or something else.
Mrs. Tubbs has taken to wondering listlessly around the courtyard. She has also developed a sudden distaste for cats.
Some pointers:
You've not yet explored the back garden (Mr. Tubbs's so-called "fairy wood")
You don't know for certain if any magic has occurred.
No one except Peglar has mentioned the vagrant magician. It's safe to assume that he's not visited the village, because if so many people believe there's something magical about Tubss's disappearance, they wouldn't have left such a colourful and suspicious character out. You could still look for him to the east.
Starhouse has gone "north" which is not much to go on, especially since it's been a week. However, the nights are cold, the crops have been harvested, it's not exactly the best time for wild camping and foraging. He'd need to find food and shelter on his way, and probably even work to pay for it.