"I am Ireena Kolyana, daughter of the former Burgomaster of Barovia, sister of the current Burgomaster, and local to this valley. Well met traveller and thank you for your help. Most people tend to avoid poor cursed Barovia, but we've had an influx of travellers lately..."
Then, finally finding her bolt broken, she sighs in disappointment...
The pale man trying to calm the mule then chimes in.
"I am Weiryn, servant of Pharasma, the Lady of the Graves and also member of the Lightbringers. Suffer no false life stranger... Hmm, also does anyone who's better than I am with animals can help me calm down this damn mule?"
Rolls
50% chance of intact bolt - (1d100)
(95) = 95